The American Health Care Act, the Republican bill to overhaul the US healthcare system, could face a serious test as early as Monday. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office is expected to release its score for the GOP's legislation to repeal and ...and more »
The American Health Care Act, the Republican bill to overhaul the
US healthcare system, could face a serious test as early as
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office is
expected to release its score for the GOP's legislation to repeal
and replace the Affordable Care Act, the healthcare law
better known as Obamacare, to estimate the budgetary and coverage
impact of the new AHCA.
The CBO score will help estimate the long-term effects of the
AHCA compared with its baseline estimates under the ACA,
typically looking at the effects over 10 years.
While Republican leaders have cast doubts on the importance of the CBO
score, the nonpartisan office was the most accurate predictor
of the effects of the ACA.
Here are some key details to look out for in the CBO report:
The change in the number of people with health
insurance: The highlight of the report will most
likely be the CBO's estimate of the number of people who
wouldÂ gain or lose coverage from the AHCA. The most likely
adjustments will be due to the changes to the structure of tax
credits for people to buy insurance under the new law and its
changes in funding for Medicaid expansion.
S&P estimated that 6 million to 10 million people would
lose coverage under the AHCA, while
the Brookings Institution projected up to 15 million.
The impact on the federal deficit: One of the
complaints of conservative Republicans positioning themselves
against the AHCA is that the tax credits and other funding,
combined with the repeal of Obamacare's taxes, wouldÂ cause
the federal deficit to increase.
Cost of premiums: The second-most-expensive
silver-level plan was used by the CBO to project premium growth
under the ACA. In fact, despite large jumps over the past year,
average premiums for 2017 are roughly in line with the CBO's
original projections. How the average cost of insurance would
change under the new law will be another major sticking point
for opponents of the AHCA.
The CBO score is not a perfect indicator â€” changes to the
legislation as it goes through various committees, as well as
legal challenges, can roil its estimates. It does, however, give
a look at how the current iteration of the law could change the
insurance industry and healthcare for Americans.
SEE ALSO: 'Trumpcare' has passed its first huge hurdles â€” but there's a very real danger it collapses
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