Astrology is a recession proof industry because future stocks are always high even if the past shows diminishing returns. No wonder the business of political forecasting is to us as exciting as fortune-telling. Come election time and out come the ...
India, the land of the great astrologers. Will we pass our exams? The stars and moon can tell us. Will we get that new car we want? Rahu and Ketu have the answers. From fortune-tellers to palmistry and chiromancy, to crystal ball gazing and tarot cards, our present is in the future and we always want to know what lies are ahead.Astrology is a recession proof industry because future stocks are always high even if the past shows diminishing returns.
No wonder the business of political forecasting is to us as exciting as fortune-telling. Come election time and out come the palmists of polls, that endangered species known as the psephologists. TV studios are suddenly dominated by these jyotishis of the election zodiac: is Mercury in Venus for Congress? Has BJP been blessed by Venus in the House of Jupiter? Are Mars and Saturn aligned for AAP?
The faceless palmists of polls are called by suitably mysterious names. For every Axis there is an Oxus, there’s Today’s Chanakya and C Voter, there’s MCR and VMR. If the Arthashastra remains the book of political strategy then the pollsters are the readers of the hastarekha of the hustings. Exit polls provide such a flurry of numbers that even numerologists would be dazed. It’s the ultimate hit and miss game, if you get it right you don’t get the credit, if you get it wrong netas will call you bazaaru and bikau.
Exit poll fever shows that we’re a demo-crazy but sometimes can also be a demockery of the real thing. Forget the actual votes locked in the counting machines, with exit polls we swing with the imagined swing factor, rise and fall with the hypothetical index of opposition disunity and gasp when a 3% differential magically brings a 100 seat majority.
This is statistics without mathematics, jugglery without a magician, all of which is geared to the ultimate alphabet of TV known as the TRP. If you don’t believe exit polls, you could always bet on the satta bazaar knowing that the netas will have to exit even if you go for broke. We may love the 5 day long Test match or the 3 hour long movie but exit polls are the ultimate T20 match. No wonder as political numerology takes over, exit pollsters are laughing their way to the Electronic Voting Machine. Why is voting like palmistry? Because your future is in your hands.
DISCLAIMER : Views expressed above are the author's own.
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